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The wave around 32-35W and 2-15N appears to be getting a little better organised. It has had a consistently good structure but little in the way of convection. However, today has seen a weak circulation develop along the axis near 9N. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased near this circulation too, and the wave certainly has potential. GFS shows a weak low pressure area tracking just northeast of the Islands and flirting with the Bahamas in about 4 to 5 days, but cant see much other model support for this to do much as yet. |