Yeah... the GFS is doing good so far this year, i would say... i like to see how the low coming off africa does in the coming days....

HPC outlined the GOM this morning...

FROM HPC this morning

AN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO LIE DOWN INLAND OF THE GULF COAST
THIS PERIOD...WITH VARIOUS RUNS OF THE GFS/ECMWF SHOWING A
POSSIBLE CLOSED UPPER CYCLONE NEAR THE WESTERN GULF COAST NEXT
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ON THE 06Z GFS/00Z CANADIAN...THIS GENERATED A
NON-FRONTAL SURFACE CYCLONE IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. EITHER
WAY...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN UNITED STATES GULF COAST THIS PERIOD. PLACED A SURFACE
TROUGH OFFSHORE THE LOUISIANA AND TEXAS COASTS FOR THE TIME BEING
UNTIL THIS PART OF THE FORECAST CAN BE HASHED OUT WITH NHC DURING
THE DAILY NOON MEDIUM RANGE CALL.