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Really a period of transition in the Atlantic. Watching the WV loop there is a strong ULL spinning in the North Atlantic and a high that is going to deepen. There was a door for her to re-curve early but she missed it. SAL really got sucked into her yesterday via her bands. Today she looked like she was getting rid of the tail she was carrying and not that long tail is back with the other mentioned convection. Have to wait and see down the road what next chance thing comes along to re-curve her but it's too early to just call her a fish and close the book. Especially with the NHC saying "AS THE STORM REMAINS SOUTH OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE. THE GFDL TRACK HAS NOW SHIFTED WESTWARD AND HAS JOINED THE REMAINDER OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE.." The GFDL also intensifies her in a few days. So, keep watching and as always it's a wait and see. |