craigm
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Jul 07 2008 07:43 AM
Re: Hurricane Bertha

Wow what are the odds another Bertha forming in july exactly on 7/7.
Looks like the tropical suite and the GFS are breaking from the pack for now, but still showing recurve around 70w. Bertha's future is not written in stone yet as evidenced by this excerpt from the 5:00 AM discussion
'GIVEN THE WEAK
STEERING CURRENTS AND LACK OF A HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...IT IS STILL NOT
GUARANTEED THAT BERTHA WILL RECURVE.'
Model experience however tells me to put my money on GFDL,ukmet and nogaps.


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