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Wow what are the odds another Bertha forming in july exactly on 7/7. Looks like the tropical suite and the GFS are breaking from the pack for now, but still showing recurve around 70w. Bertha's future is not written in stone yet as evidenced by this excerpt from the 5:00 AM discussion 'GIVEN THE WEAK STEERING CURRENTS AND LACK OF A HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...IT IS STILL NOT GUARANTEED THAT BERTHA WILL RECURVE.' Model experience however tells me to put my money on GFDL,ukmet and nogaps. |