Exactly, to much troughiness for Bertha to actually make it to the east coast. Bermudas gonna have to hunker down as they say, Berthas intensification is surprising to me, especially when shear is a bit high to the north. Shear goes all the way to 50 knots if it were to head straight north, yet shear lowers to 20 knots if it heads the forecasted direction. It was a tough forecast, wunderground bloggers were getting mixed up, now it seems like the path is finally starting to clear out. If the trough doesn't recurve it, next one should recurve it. Things should get interesting later in the month.