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Outflow continues improving this afternoon, after some improvement during the late overnight and into the morning hours, as well. Deep convection now encircles a well-defined, fairly smooth and symmetric eye. Perhaps a little bit of interruption to the outflow channel that has been such a boon to her exhaust the past couple of days, but nothing perilous to her health just yet. Now that CIMSS has got her position right again, and just in time for this most recent upswing in intensity, ADT is playing a little catch-up, with the CI still only reading 4.4 (garbage in, garbage out), but with an easily far more accurate adjusted T of 5.4, for around 100 knots. With SAB already running 5.0 (around 90 knots) a little over an hour and a half ago, should the current trends persist for just a little while longer, there may easily be a 5PM advisory showing Bertha back up as a major. Track continues just a hair to the *right* of OFCI. Wobbles along her path, and also the occasional clutter produced by some convective flare-ups, may have been making this appear less so from time to time. But once 3, 6 and 12 hour time-frames go by, the nearly nw trend stays very much intact. |