scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Sun Jul 13 2008 02:39 PM
Re: trifecta

I couldnt get enough info and sat fix-data missed a area around 11N and 51W that I been watching over the last 36hrs. I feel this has a decent chance to be slipping under the radar for a quick upgraded to Tropical Storm status in the next day or 2. The convection has been persistant over this area since 41W or 36 hrs ago, and I'm afraid we might have a tight circulation in there. Until Sat gets a fix (hopefully the next pass) we wont know forsure or until it gets better organized. I'm not sure there is alot of W-NW winds. Bouys nearby do show N-E-SW winds in a broader area.

Model runs try to pick up on this area first as it races it towards the Jamaica area by Weds-Thurs timeframe.


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