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Looking at my disturbance ... near 11N and 51W this morning(sunday) it has quickly raced off to the W with the LLF and is now around 11N and 58W as of late Sunday night. The convection died off as presures rose slightly with the overall disturbance racing away from the itzc. Still though a weak tight circulation is there, if convection builds around this area on Monday...we may have something by Tuesday or Weds appoaching Hispaniola and Jamaica later in the week. I give this a 3/10 but still something to watch. 94L looks well organized and cant say much more than anyone else has said on here or the NHC...so until its offical... Ill leave it alone as also the models are hit or miss on this. Bertha? giving fish some fresh water! |