cieldumort
(Moderator)
Mon Jul 14 2008 09:10 AM
Re: Bertha lurches towards Bermuda

No eye forming within Invest 94L, although I think I see what you are referring to. This is just an optical illusion created by various cloud patterns. This sort of thing happens fairly often and should not be of any concern. We'll worry about eyes forming in what 94L may very well become, later.

Regarding water temperatures and development, SSTs are only one small part of a much larger mix of ingredients that go into baking and topping off tropical cyclones.

The convective complex south-southeast of 94L could be getting a very slight bit of spin to it in the lower levels, but really not much. Most of the apparent spin is actually likely yet another illusion, this one created by the direction of some of the mid/upper level winds crossing the lower-mid level winds within this part of the ITCZ, which it is a part of. Any spin it has near the surface would almost certainly be too close to the equator, at this juncture, to have much chance at development beyond being a monsoon depression within the ITCZ.



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