cieldumort
(Moderator)
Mon Jul 14 2008 02:51 PM
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things

Quote:


I looked at the satellite this morning and noticed some circulation off the florida coast....I am unsure if this is remnants of the passing front or if this indeed something to watch. SST are ripe for something to develop, if this is something to watch out for.





An upper-level low is centered off the east coasts of Florida and Georgia. This feature is in the upper-levels, with next to nothing at all down near the surface, less an associated trof cutting across the middle of the state from SW to NE. Really nothing at all to work off of at the moment, but Florida can probably expect to see some more storminess today from coast to coast.

While SSTs in that region are supportive of genesis, one can almost toss out looking at SSTs as any indication of whether or not an area, itself, is "ripe" for development. Warm core cyclone formation is dictated much more by what is happening above the water, than below.



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