No argument in the expectation of 94L most likely becoming a TD within 48 hours, and perhaps as early as later today.

Near term (over the next 48 hours) there are some obstacles which could hold 94L back from becoming more than a low-end TS.. in the near term.. (over the next 48 hours)... and probably will most have to do with the dry air which exists just to the W-NW-N of the system, dry air that has already been a little entrained into the broader circulation when the overnight convective burst went out.

What exists now is a banding ring of convection around the northern and southern halves. Within this ring, dry air is squelching any significant convection from growing back over the feeble LLC. Eventually, as the embryonic cyclone continues to produce yet more convection, this dry air should slowly mix out, but this might not happen soon enough, as the eastern Caribbean awaits, which could prove to be a harsh blend of unfortunate timing. Time will tell. Odds favor 94L beating this and coming out the winner, however.

On some of the upsides, 94L has an apparent anticyclone aloft, with outflow fairly well established all around. Shear remains low, and SSTs continue to go up along its future path over the next several days.