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The 2 pm EST models for 94L (with the exception of the rather odd-looking GFS) are fairly consistent in taking whatever 94 L decides to become just to the south of Hispaniola in a few days, taking a largely west of WNW track. I am recollecting a couple of storms from last year that just drove head-long into the Yucatan. If those models are correct on 94L, I suppose we might see a repeat of that. Anyone know if there is anything to nudge it north towards the end of the week, onto a track into the Gulf?
It's more likely that the models are minoring out 94L, such that she's more susceptible to the lower tropospheric steering field. If she were a deeper integrated storm, she would probably model her way up N of Hisp.
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