I feel fairly confident that if 94L crosses the threshold of invest into organization, most guidance will be retarded with both rate of intensification, as well as ultimate intensity - but may catch up on the latter, later on - looking forward from that point in time.

Now-casting is probably the more important procedure with this particular entity. All environmental variables are positive for development and we do in fact have a wave with a closed low on its axis, exhibiting cyclonic curl in the convective plumes...amid said environment factors. Potential outflow is good, shear remains low, SST are warm, and there doesn't really appear to be much dry air in the vicinity, either. Because the models do or do not show this system is probably of lesser importances when noticing what is actually taking place. It is simply and most likely a matter of getting a nice sustained convection concentrate, which is probably a matter of time.

John

(Referenced 'quote' was from a post that was moved to a different Forum.)