Quote:
But.... 94L looked - to me - a lot more impressive 24 hours ago... and the GFS was going crazy with it at that time. Now, it looks pretty sick, and the GFS and GFDL actually lost it for two runs (they apear to have picked it back up now in the latest runs, though). Certainly 94L was weaker than Bertha when it came off Africa, but I don't see that it's done as the models projected, in terms of development. Were the models not forecasting it to have developed into a T.D. by now?
You know, the cyclonic curl today is more evident than it was yesterday during the convection flaring. Yesterday the low along the TW axis was being assessed at 1009mb....today 1008mb...so despite its lack of pretty red hues on IR...it's a stronger system; granted at a very slow pace. Let's see how the nocturnal typology unfolds. Wouldn't shock me to see some additional stuff flaring later...
|
Re: Bertha Stalls SSE of Bermuda, Watching Two Other Things