doug
(Weather Analyst)
Tue Jul 15 2008 11:55 AM
Re: Busy July Morning, Watching Bertha, East of Caribbean and Gulf

94L is still immature, obviously. It has not really developed a low level feeder system and blow off from the tstorm complex to its wnw has interferred with that to some extent. It seems to be trying to grab some from the ssw and some storms may be firing there. No question of where the llc is however (approx 12 and 44 now)...still very much a baby.
The complex in the E GOM is falling SE along a frontal trough. Surface pressures are somewhat reduced in the area and of course SST's are at their usual July values (mid 80's). There is still the remenant of an upper trough to the east, so I don't think the upper levels will favor development.



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