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A little surprised not to see Bertha being upgraded to hurricane at 11. She's there, but recon isn't. The most recently published Dvorak print out of SAB is already ages old (15/1145 UTC 35.1N 63.0W T3.5/3.5) And CIMSS is still running automated Dvorak on her using the curved band method, when it probably should already be interpreting by the eye method, in addition to misplacing her actual center, so those estimates (2.5 currently (2.5!!!)) can be completely tossed out. Why NHC chose to rely on some high-res scatts that are also not up to date, and yet themselves can easily be used to argue for an advisory at or greater than 65 knots, to maintain her intensity at 60 knots, I'll never know... Betcha someone in there right now must be thinking hard whether or not to adjust this between now and 5PM, at least especially given Bertha's still relatively close proximity to Bermuda. 94L is looking better, to me. I'm still placing it a tiny bit southeast of where scott keeps placing the LLCC.. , but then again, here's yet another one where some recon wouldn't hurt. Current T numbers strongly argue for a hair-trigger upgrade to numbered TD, should just a tiny bit more organization.. particularly, organized convection, occur Most recent T numbers for 94L from SAB: 15/1145 UTC 11.8N 48.3W T2.0/2.0 94L 15/0545 UTC 11.8N 45.1W T2.0/2.0 94L 14/2345 UTC 11.9N 44.2W T2.0/2.0 94L 14/1745 UTC 12.1N 43.1W T2.0/2.0 94L 14/1145 UTC 11.9N 42.0W T1.5/1.5 94L |