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That area in the GOM is quite interesting and some models form a low pressure system with it. If it gets any more symetrical with some convection, it deserves to be at least tagged an invest. 94L looks to be gaining convection on the last few frames. For some odd reason this is surprisenly familiar to a storm that no models predicted to form but had formed last year. It became one of the most powerful storms in the Atlantic history! It happened almost a year ago.. I believe the NHC is doing the right thing and keeping a medium potential for development. However it's got a nice wall of shear that it should run into soon. So I guess we'll see what happens in the long run. Tropical disturbances in Africa are looking good to, no doubt, a fairly active year. |