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The 1013-1014mb is still about right. There is a very, very, very weak surface low/reflection of the lower to mid-level low just offshore. If anything, the surface low is just barely offshore.. given how weak it is and the less than ideal amount of time it has to do something, odds of course favor that it remains just a batch of moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms. Interesting, but nothing yet worthy of even an Invest tag, really. Just not enough going on at the surface to justify that. However, by this time tomorrow, maybe, if it hasn't rained itself out or been snuffed out by the approaching trof from the west, it could yet become a TD. Either way, the results are similar.. tho a TD/low-end TS could also contain some strong, gusty winds.. maybe a few waterspouts and tornadoes... and the track would likely be a little different, with a TC maybe running more northerly, than northeasterly. |