Lower pressure has been forming down in the southwestern Caribbean for a few days now, and with Scott's Little Wave That Could entering the picture, at the same time upper-level winds have become favorable. Time frame-wise, this whatever it becomes is easily favored to push into and across central America, but right behind it, Invest 94L might slow down around/south of Jamaica, and this region could still be rather favorable for continued genesis. It would seem that should this occur, 94L might be a little more developed, sooner, and have a chance to track more WNW to NW, which could open up the possibility of a Yucatan and then GOM concern.

In the meantime, I am not finding data supporting an estimate of 1006mb in the SW Carib, nor any ship or buoy report of a 42 mph gust. The lowest pressure reading I can find supports 1010, perhaps 1009, and winds generally 15-25 mph.