cieldumort
(Moderator)
Fri Jul 18 2008 12:00 PM
Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean

There can be little doubt that 96L (off the coast of Georgia) is now blowing up deep convection right on top of its LLCC. This development, given a little more of it for a little longer, should begin to drop surface pressures in the center and increase the wind speed throughout the system. A tropical depression could now form at any time today.

Track is fairly plain vanilla. Steering currents are light, but high pressure should gradually build into and along the east coast this weekend. This should allow 96L to travel generally north - along, just within, or just outside of the coasts of GA, SC and/or NC for the next few days, before probably hooking out to sea by early next week. 96L could be a slow scraper.

94L - This one has us here in Texas starting to pay a little more attention, and with very good reason. Simply put, hunters are flying back in today to determine if a tropical depression - or tropical storm - has already formed. Not much in the immediate area in the way of ship and buoy reports to compare satellite presentation with for some ground-truthing quality control, but based on satellite presentation alone, there's an awful lot of "there," there, now.



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