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well looks like the "tropical characteristics" are being achieved by 96L... banding on the east and south side of the low is looking good. this is what i found: TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0024 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE (AL032008) 20080719 0000 UTC Click to see full text ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 31.7N LONCUR = 79.8W DIRCUR = 40DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 31.1N LONM12 = 80.5W DIRM12 = 19DEG SPDM12 = 3KT LATM24 = 30.8N LONM24 = 80.4W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1016MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM They did upgrade at 11pm... ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA... |