| weatherguy08 |
| (Weather Hobbyist) |
| Mon Jul 21 2008 02:20 AM |
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical
|
Check out the new models. Basically, the farthest south of the early-cycle models, the GFNI, puts landfall 100 miles south of the US-Mexico border as a 74-knot storm. The farthest north, the CLP5, puts landfall literally on Galveston Island. I think we are going to be dealing with a Texas landfall. The spread in the 00z early-cycle models is 350 miles, not too bad for three days out!
Couldn't attach the file (too big), so I uploaded it to my website:
http://www.jasonsweathercenter.com/images/00z-21%20early-cycle%20models.png