weathernet
(Storm Tracker)
Sun Jul 20 2008 10:23 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical

Michael ~~~ Hmmm, thats very interesting. I did not know that they had come up with that fix a couple hours ago. With regards to factoring motion, that would seem to indicate practically minimal motion ( at least for the last couple of hours ). Not that I think that the forecast reasoning has changed much on overall forward motion, but if in fact this is the new center that we are seeing, and that Dolly may be really getting its act together this evening, that such a deepening trend might explain little or no motion. As we have noticed on numerous occassions over past history, many a storm undergoing deepening will tend to slow down or even stall temporarily.

If this is truly occuring, than I think we will soon see a WNW to NW resuming of forecasted forward motion, but with a new package adjusting the longer range path accordingly.



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