Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Sun Jul 20 2008 11:03 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical

Speaking of July records, NHC has included the wave still over Africa in their Tropical Weather Outlook with a medium chance of development. When was the last time we saw a TWO about a wave that hadn't even left Africa yet?

(sorry for the somewhat off topic...)

NHC is having a time with Dolly. Latest discussion says "it may not still be a TS due to lack of a closed low." And clearly if you relocate a closed low under that main convective zone, Dvorak pops up with a high end TS. Hmm. Going to be interesting.