(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))

Sun Jul 20 2008 11:08 PM

Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical

Its not off-topic. I mentioned this wave in the leadoff article for this thread.

Regarding the latest NHC bulletin, they seem to cover the bases well and given the shear in the area, I'm not sure that I wouldn't have taken the same approach:

"THE INTENSITY
FORECAST ASSUMES THAT THERE WILL BE SOME DISRUPTION OF THE SYSTEM
OVER THE YUCATAN...WHICH COULD BE AVOIDED IF A CENTER REFORMS TO
THE NORTH WITHIN THE DEEP CONVECTION."

ED