Listen wouldn't want to have to write the 11pm but think it's too conservative and direction is "forecasted" not consistent with current movement but this is the way they work. Forecasted means they expect it to move to the NW even if they see it looks a bit more NWN thus the phrase forecasted movement.

Imagine the biggest problem is going with what you see vs what was forecasted.

One of those storms where you see with your eyes something other than the official track (much like Irene in a way but not saying this is anything like Irene) where you have a weather mass moving on sats in a different direction from where the NHC says the center is..

Imagine they will be watching models over the next several hours carefully.

A lot I could say but I'm going to wait and see in the morning.