agree with a few others on here... i think... and this is based on cancun radar and sats (if you look at the loop in the last few hrs.. looks like the center may have reformed just ne of cozumel, MX... cuz the radar data is low there.. closer to the radar scan)..... putting cancun under the gun more... my thought was the farther north away from the affects of the ULL to the west would be a better chance of getting its act together... from the surface to upper levels... which would let the convection blossom more and spiral out... giving it a shot at forming a better structure.... plus dolly is in the southern part of the loop current.. so the fuel is there... i just think the conditions in the SW GOM will support a strong system, once it clears the yucatan in the morning...

**side note.. AF Recon is over Charleston, SC at 24kft headed to Cristobal** I think Cristobal finally hit the Gulf Stream this evening