Since I got a few emails about this this morning.... Things may change pretty quickly with Dolly, so just wanted to put up a reminder to keep watch, especially through the afternoon. Although the westerly track is more likely, if Dolly does get organized and gains strength then northerly is definitely possible as well.

Dvorak T Numbers are around 3.0, so it is doing pretty well convection wise right now. If recon finds evidence of a Low Level Circulation then those numbers will be important.

Everyone in that forecast cone needs to be watching this system.