Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Wed Jul 23 2008 06:25 AM
Attachment
Re: Hurricane Dolly Approaches Brownsville

agree with your obs... i thought in recent views on sats... that a opening was appearing, maybe some weak sign of the eye... not sure about that just yet....i love the fact that the levell II data is in super res. mode and showing a very decent eyewall. (from KBRO) First TIME for everything... hehe. The biggest concern to me will be the FRESH WATER Flooding... i hope people take the warning and get to higher grounds... cuz with the expected rain... that area will flood for a few days.... before it flushes back into the GOM.

Recon about to make what looks like last pass through the center. and based on some data coming in.. i think the pressure is starting to drop again.. will know in a few mins

UPDATE: pressure is back to falling again... down to 980mb EYE is open on the south side... and until she cloeses the south side of the eye, she shouldn't get to much stronger.

A. Time of Center Fix: 23rd day of the month at 6:14:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 25°27'N 96°16'W (25.45N 96.27W)
B. Center Fix Location: 83 miles (133 km) to the ESE (114°) from Brownsville, TX, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,902m (9,521ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 55kts (~ 63.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 22 nautical miles (25 statute miles) to the WNW (296°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 20° at 60kts (From the NNE at ~ 69.0mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the WNW (286°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 980mb (28.94 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,049m (10,003ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,047m (9,997ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 11°C (52°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the south
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 22 nautical miles (25 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 75kts (~ 86.3mph) in the northeast quadrant at 5:04:20Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 73kts (~ 84.0mph) in the southeast quadrant at 6:20:10Z
Maximum Surface (likely estimated by SFMR) Wind Outbound: 64kts (~ 73.6mph) in the southeast quadrant at 6:20:20Z



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