Random Chaos
(Weather Analyst)
Wed Jul 23 2008 07:57 AM
Re: Hurricane Dolly Approaches Brownsville

Eye pass complete.

HDOB estimates 966mb. Waiting on Dropsonde and Vortex Recon messages. Will update this post when they arrive.

Vortex Recon in:

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 23rd day of the month at 11:59Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 302)
Storm Number & Year: 04L in 2008
Storm Name: Dolly (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 19
Observation Number: 11
A. Time of Center Fix: 23rd day of the month at 11:46:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 25°49'N 96°38'W (25.82N 96.63W)
B. Center Fix Location: 54 miles (86 km) to the E (98°) from Brownsville, TX, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,818m (9,245ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 59kts (~ 67.9mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the SE (132°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 227° at 74kts (From the SW at ~ 85.2mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the SE (131°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 967mb (28.56 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 15°C (59°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,041m (9,977ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 9°C (48°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: C20
M. Eye Shape / Orientation / Diameter (Undecoded): CLOSED

N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 3 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 86kts (~ 99.0mph) in the northeast quadrant at 10:31:20Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 78kts (~ 89.8mph) in the northwest quadrant at 11:52:40Z

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This represents a 5mb drop in about an hour. Pretty fast drop. We should start seeing the winds catch up with the pressure drops pretty soon.



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