Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Wed Jul 23 2008 10:45 AM
Re: South Padre Island

Radar definitely shows weak or non-existent convection in the northern half of the eyewall. In fact, there is a definite asymmetry in the intensity of convection in the southern half of the circulation compared to the northern half overall . Unless Dolly manages to correct this asymmetry prior to landfall, the intensity should not get out of control, though a continued slow increase is possible as long as it remains over water.

Dolly definitely has slowed and appears to be paralleling the coastline for the time being. That is bad news as far as wind and rain exposure goes. At this point, it would be best if Dolly resumed a more westward motion and got its landfall over with.



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