Update - Tuesday - 08/05, 7:00AM CT
Edouard makes landfall between high island and sabine pass as a tropical storm.

Update - Tuesday - 08/05, 6:51AM CT
Edouard looks like it will not make hurricane status before landfall, and adjustments overnight put the landfall point north of the Houston/Galveston area between there and Port Arthur.

The biggest story from Edouard will be the rainfall. Outside of Edouard, not much to look at except a wave off Africa.

Galveston Beach Cam Recording

Update - Monday - 08/04, 6:04PM CT
Edouard weakened a bit this morning to 45MPH, but from recon and radar it appears to have begun slowly reorganizing.

Right now it is still expected to make landfall at or near Galveston, TX tomorrow afternoon as a strong Tropical Storm and a small chance of a minimal hurricane. Follow local media, and official statements if you are in the area. Generally prepare for a category 1 hurricane, but expect a Tropical Storm.

Things that could change are if the storm slows down forward motion, giving it more time to organize, or if it manages to get on an organization spree or not. The former is possible, the latter is less likely.

Update - Monday - 08/04, 6:40AM CT
Edouard continues to move generally westward around 8MPH this morning. Tropical Storm Warnings still remain, and a Hurricane Watch is up from Port O'Connor Texas to west of Intracoastal City, Louisiana. There is a chance that Edouard could become a category 1 before landfall, and thus those in the warning area should prepare, especially boaters and those along the coast. Listen to local media and authorities for more information.

The most likely scenario (as of now, this could change) is that it makes landfall at or just north of Galveston as a strong Tropical Storm, not making it to hurricane strength. The rain potential is probably the largest worry about this one.

Update - Sunday - 08/03, 6PM ET
Based on latest RECON data, NHC has upgraded TD#5 to Tropical Storm Edouard at 03/22Z. Sustained winds now at 45mph and central pressure down to 1002MB. Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings remain unchanged, however, winds prior to landfall on Tuesday afternoon have been increased to 65mph gusting to 80mph. If the increase in windspeed materializes, this would make Edouard a potent Tropical Storm. Folks in the north Texas and Louisiana coastal areas need to stay current on the movement and intensity of this storm and begin initial storm preparations at this time.
ED

Original Post - Sunday 08/03, 5PM ET
Invest 91L in the gulf has become a Tropical Depression this afternoon, and because of its proximity to the north central Gulf coast, Tropical Storm warnings are now up in Louisiana from the mouth of the Mississippi river westward to Intracoastal City, and Tropical Storm watches are up west of there to Port O'Connor Texas.

Mid to upper level winds indicate a movement toward the north Texas coastal area. Moderate easterly windshear is likely to inhibit any significant development but folks in the north Texas to western Louisiana coastal areas should monitor this TD closely since there is a possibility that the windshear will relax. The initial NHC forecast brings TD#5 to Tropical Storm strength within 24 hours. The next name on the list is Edouard.

The latest GFDL model run brings TD#5 to hurricane strength, but right now that remains unlikely. However, it does mean that people in the watch/warning areas will want to keep a close watch on this system.

What do you think TD#5 will do, where will it go? How strong? Let us know in the TD#5 Lounge .

Event Related Links:

Level 3 Radar Recording of Edouard from HCW

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Regional Composite Radar (Edouard)

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