'Notice how around Dolly time the Atlantic got that sort of drugged look (aside from Edouard squeezing in) it gets when MJO flips to positive? It never works out perfectly, but you can see that MJO negative wave advancing... just look at how the western Pacific flipped on a week or so ago, and now the central and eastern Pacific have a pretty solid line of storms and invests.'

HF, This phase diagram I have attached backs up your last post.
I'ts a little difficult to understand at 1st, but if you study it a minute you will see the correlation with our busy time in July and the phase we are heading into now - the blue line is August.