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Things were looking more bullish on 92L yesterday, I think. The shear over the system is hindering consistent convective activity, and all that is in the midst of the SAL surrounding it. NHC is less optimistic than yesterday, when publishe reports put it at 50% for development and NRL posted the alert. Today it is 20-50%. My concern is this will pulse late in the journey across and the relative weakness of the system will keep it from turning NW before the Bahamas, which will create a short track system that Florida must deal with. |