cieldumort
(Moderator)
Thu Aug 14 2008 06:28 PM
Re: Watching the Wave Northeast of the Lesser Antilles

92L has had a well-defined and improving MLC since last night, but based on recon, buoy and ship reports, a still broad low level circulation with a couple of embedded weak, if not also transient, low level circulations.

This afternoon it is now readily apparent that even if one dominant, tight LLC is still lacking (which may or may not be the case - we will know a lot more after recon gets back in there and maybe a few more microwave passes), the MLC is so robust, so vigorous, and complete with an attendant, co-located upper-level anticyclone still building overhead, it would not be at all surprising to see an upgrade later this afternoon - and based on the winds, possibly going strait to Fay, if they close off a tight-enough, dominant LLC.



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