Right now alot can happen with this.. mostly due to land-interaction. Reason this is forecasted to move more W is cause of a weak system. It probably will eigther stay weak over Cuba or just south of there and get better organized before the turn north on Sunday-Monday timeframe.

Although I always say use the GFDL-GFS-ECMWF for guidance, the GFDL on this 12z run seems off slightly during the first 24hrs as it takes it SW for 18hrs around the island...(thats not going to happen). I do think it will move along the S coast of Cuba...how strong it gets and where and how much of a turn N or NW is still a debate and wont know till it happens.

scottsvb