You guys are correct. Those of us on the west coast of Florida have less margin for error if it is to our west. The eye could pass 50-100 miles west and still bring us rain, possibly tornados, high surf and seas and many other problems. But, if it passes 50-100 miles EAST of us, then the effects should be much less. I am almost exactly 40 miles west of where Charlie passed and here, there was no damage, little wind and really not much of anything. Of course it was a pretty compact storm. No telling how large Fay will be when in this area. The point is, there is much greater danger 'in the cone' east of the center (and for a larger distance 'off the center line' of a cyclone than the same distance west of the center.