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Last satellite I saw looked like the mountain of Hispanola DID take out a fair amount of convection in the north half of the storm, but DIDN'T disrupt the overall circulation pattern as often happens there. Yes, the models have shifted a bit east, but please don't make much of these run-to-run wobbles until a clear pattern gets established. It seems pretty certain that this is a Florida storm, but that is really about as far as we can go. Be prepared....keep calm....stay tuned. |