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Despite what many have said on other boards regarding Fay's appearance she has been improving greatly all afternoon IMHO. Last visible images showed a rejuvenating system that looks to stay south of the Cuban coast for the next 24 hours. This is a bit disturbing, since the pressures have been falling steadily now and AF investigations are showing increased winds at the surface (approximately 57 knots in the SE Quad). Her appearance is great considering where she has been during the past 24 hours (Haiti) and she has a symetrical circulation that gives one the feeling that all she need do is stretch out in the waters south of Cuba and she'll undergoe intensification prior to turning north. Again I believe the NHC maybe a bit conservative with the intensity forecast, but that is reasonable since there is a chance of land interaction. If she crosses central Cuba heading north, the land interaction will be short-lived and may be problematic for us in Florida. here's hoping she stalls over land in Cuba or just gets sheared to death. Cheers! |