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True, but then Charley did have a fast forward motion whereas it appears form the track prediction that Fay will be moving forward much more slowly. Could that not give her more time to suck up energy and rotate faster (maybe become more compact, smaller in size?)?
A lot depends upon shear at that point. The 5pm discussion indicates that shear may be higher in 72 hours where Fay is forecast to be, which would preclude strengthening.
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