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So we have a 2/3 chance of getting hit, or will we get hit based on the cone of uncertainty? I'm just trying to get myself to come to terms with what to expect. Based on NHC plots, is fort myers going to be a direct Cat 1 hit? How quick can this change?

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A 2/3's chance the storm will go in that direction. I think you're fixating too much on the line. If you are in Fort Myers you will if nothing else fell the effects of a tropical storm. I've been through a few, the wait is sometimes worse than the storm. Have all your prep work done then relax and watch the Olympics tonight.