Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sun Aug 17 2008 07:32 PM
Attachment
Re: Fay Continued, Hurricane Watches Extended Northward

I'm getting a little nervous looking at the new model trends. Especially since Fay is not really vertically stacked yet. Her core is still kinda weak. Which a weaker system i would move a little farther west. Seeing the bams suite have been west of the guidence for the last two days, while the NOGAPS has been on the left side too?? Cuba is a good thing and a bad thing right now, i think.. Close to land keeps it from developing a good core and outflow. But keeps more westerly before turning north?

G-IV is about an 1hr into its mission almost due east of Miami. The AF recon is right along the coast of Cuba flying wnw.

i attached an image



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