MikeC
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| (Admin) |
| Sun Aug 17 2008 11:02 PM |
Re: Green Light
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Quote:
Am I losing my mind (probably), or has Fay stopped dead in its tracks over the last couple of hours? Looking at the AVN loop, it appears that Fay increased in size, but did not move much in any direction.
You aren't the only one, the Hurricane Center has done a good job so far with this maddening system, Masters over at underground nicknamed it the Joker, and it is pretty fitting. I think the Hurricane Center has a good grip on it, but as mentioned by the official NHC discussion, that angle of approach is similar to Charley, and it just leaves a wide open area where the storm could impact.
Here's a plot with both Charley and Fay on it (click)
Fay is a lot weaker than Charley was at this point, though, so I don't think a repeat is in the cards.
** NOTE this has to do with difficulty forecasting an exact landfall point, other than that it has no similarity to Charley. **