More than I can mention here. Intensifying over the Straits is a given as the water is warm however much depends on upper level winds and the structure of the storm being in tact.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

I'm not sure what to believe here except there has been a major blow up around the area that is I believe to the right of the center.

The center disapeered under the big blow up so it's either there or jumping around because of... interaction with land.
That is possible. One possible excuse.