weathernet
(Storm Tracker)
Mon Aug 18 2008 03:42 AM
dropsonde in center

Given the better overall appearance on radar and especially satellite, am actually surprised that 1005mb was the lowest pressure. Perhaps significant filling, from having passing over ( rugged ) land. If in fact this is so, than we may indeed see a better aligned tropical cyclone when emerging over the Florida Straights, though one with a 1007/1008mb pressure. Hard to imagine that we'll see "that" significant deepening in the hours prior to reaching the Keys ( or latitude of the keys ), with such a starting central pressure.

As a side note........... anyone happen to check out the full 0Z run of GFS. Talk about a case study! If this were to ever verify, than Fay would certainly prove to be the new posterchild storm as "the tropical cyclone that just wouldn't go away". ( GFS shows S. W. Florida landfall, then St. Augustine/Jacksonville landfall, shift WSW and then northward for yet another shot at the N. Gulf Coast )



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