zacker20
(Weather Watcher)
Mon Aug 18 2008 06:43 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South

Quote:

It could be another "wobble" but last several radar loops looks as if Fay is taking on more of an eastward component.




The Key West radar is not conclusive. What you have to look at is the IR Satellite... Earlier today, the storm was very disorganized and broad. The IR satellite picture is showing a deepening of convection on the western side and it is getting symmetrical. Do not focus on the convection to the eastern side, that has been sheared off and is broken away from the COC. The new focus is the blowup of convection on the western side. There could also be a new formation of COC... Zoom in on the western convection and you will definitely see a spinning feature in the center. I don't believe the center is located at Key West. If you compare the Forecast points with the current movement over the past few hours, it is definitely trending more to the west.

We will have to wait and see till 8 pm if this is actually considered a trend but I am betting the motion is more to the NW, not NNW.



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