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I agree with my fellow Mets on the GFDL model. I dont see Fay racing NNW into that ridge after 48hrs. First 48hrs are pretty clear about a crossover the state. Where exactly it emerges and the strength of the ridge building in will determine the W or WNW movement back across florida. Anywhere from the Cape-Savannah need to pay close attention over the next few days. Infact the next 24 hrs will be very important.,but lets focus on her current landfall as she still can be a Cat 1 by 5am. |