if you go by the NHC, Fays move to the west will take about 24 hours to cross the peninsula, slow down, then move farther west. The key is where that take place. The NHC track will diminish Fay in 24-48 hrs. If it goes farther south and reenters the gulf, the Big Bend area will likely get the torential rains, as well as the length of the panhandle before moving inland. So many ifs. The models continue to jump around. The 18Z gfs should give us a good indication. If it moves north, Fay may stay over land during its westward motion.