The GFDL model btw shows that FAY should of been near 29.5N and making landfall around 2am near St Augustine or 29.7N before it moving W by morning and it being about 29.9N and 83W by mid afternoon on Thursday. Now its already about .6 too far N so if you subtract that, it give ya around 29.1N at landfall and 29.3-83N by mid afternoon Thursday. That is a big difference cause that shows it will make the GOM as it has to be below 29.8N. I think the GFDL is alittle too quick and about .6-.8 too far north. I see the HRW has come along with the ECWMF and GFS on the 18z run.