|
|
|||||||
There is nothing unusual about the Fay's movement. The calendar and climatology play a big role given the time of year it is right now. Faye's current location and what that synoptic pattern is gives Faye's steering component. We all watched yesterday as Faye strengthened over land but given this is Florida - GOM on one side, the Atlantic on the other, Lake Okechobee and the Everglades and a very, very favorable upper level environment conducive to strengthening if she remains over open water for any length of time and you have a recipe of a sustained tropical cyclone like Faye. We all have to remember Faye did not become a hurricane and did not have a developed inner core that is traditional with hurricanes, thus for the most part she's remained in somewhat a steady state of development with some weakening and some strengthening. The big question that lies ahead in a few days is whether the upper air ridge over the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic will build enough to push Fay into the Gulf of Mexico further south than currently projected and what will be left of her if she emerges over open water. |